How productive were they across their whole career?
GP82-weighted average of every qualifying NHL season. Rewards consistency — a player who produces at a second-line level for 12 seasons scores higher than one who has 3 elite years and 5 mediocre ones. The most stable measure of what a player actually was.
Answers: What is this player's sustained value?
CarPeak
How productive was the player at their best?
Best 3 NHL seasons by points production, topped up to 200 GP82 (games played normalised to 82-game seasons). Captures a player's ceiling — the version of themselves that showed up when everything was clicking.
Answers: What is this player's ceiling?
CarProj
What level of career production do we expect a prospect to reach?
The forward-looking projection at draft time. Using historical probability tables built from 47 feeder leagues and 60+ draft classes, CarProj assigns each prospect a percentage probability of making and staying in the NHL, along with a predicted tier label — the model's prediction of what a prospect will become.
Answers: What will this prospect become?
Tiers
The 6-tier classification system
Forwards
Elite — Franchise-level, perennial All-Star Top Line — First-line forward 2nd Line — Second-line contributor 3rd Line — Depth scoring role 4th Line — Checking line Depth — Minimal NHL impact
Defencemen
Elite — Franchise-level, perennial All-Star Top Pair — Top-pair defenceman 2nd Pair — Second-pair contributor Bottom Pair — Third-pair depth role Depth — 7th D / minimal NHL impact
A player can have different tiers across CarPeak and CarProd.
